Analysis

HARLEM, NY — Most Harlem ZIP codes have seen an uptick in the percentage of coronavirus cases coming back positive, part of a trend that has alarmed health officials, according to city data released Thursday.

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United States

US - NorthEast

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Age-specific mortality and immunity patterns of SARS-CoV-2

Mon, 2020-11-02 19:50 — mike kraft

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0

Estimating the size and infection severity of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic is made challenging by inconsistencies in available data. The number of COVID-19 deaths is often used as a key indicator for the epidemic size, but observed deaths represent only a minority of all infections^1,2.

Additionally, the heterogeneous burden in nursing homes and variable reporting of deaths in elderly individuals can hamper direct comparisons across countries of the underlying level of transmission and mortality rates³. Here we use age-specific COVID-19 death data from 45 countries and the results of 22 seroprevalence studies to investigate the consistency of infection and fatality patterns across multiple countries.

We find that the age distribution of deaths in younger age groups (<65 years) is very consistent across different settings and demonstrate how this data can provide robust estimates of the share of the population that has been infected.

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Two Pandemics, One Challenge—Leveraging Molecular Test Capacity of Tuberculosis Laboratories for Rapid COVID-19 Case-Finding

Mon, 2020-11-02 19:18 — mike kraft

Two Pandemics, One Challenge—Leveraging Molecular Test Capacity of Tuberculosis Laboratories for Rapid COVID-19 Case-Finding In many settings, the ongoing coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic coincides with other major public health threats, in particular tuberculosis. U... Emerging Infectious Diseases journal

...TB laboratories can be an important resource to increase the global capacity for SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic testing and research. However, expanding their scope to the detection of a viral pathogen warrants careful planning.

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Europe is locking down a second time. But what is its long-term plan?

Mon, 2020-11-02 17:46 — mike kraft

Europe is locking down a second time. But what is its long-term plan? New measures seek to lower the spread of the coronavirus, but some scientists say Europe should eliminate it Science | AAAS

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ANALYSIS: In Search for the virus, WHO let China take charge

Mon, 2020-11-02 17:11 — mike kraft

...Nine months and more than 1.1 million deaths later, there is still no transparent, independent investigation into the source of the (COVID-19) virus. Notoriously allergic to outside scrutiny, China has impeded the effort, while leaders of the World Health Organization, if privately frustrated, have largely ceded control, even as the Trump administration has fumed.

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