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U.S. life expectancy gains expected to stall by 2050 as health progress falls below pace of other countries

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The U.S. is failing to keep pace with dozens of countries around the world due to the steady decline of the nation's health progress, according to a detailed analysis of all 50 states and Washington, D.C., published in The Lancet.

Researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) produced health estimates and (the most likely future) of life expectancy, mortality, and morbidity due to more than 350 diseases and injuries and 68 risks in the U.S. from 1990 to 2050.

Life expectancy (LE) in the U.S. is forecasted to increase from 78.3 years in 2022 to 79.9 years in 2035 and to 80.4 years in 2050 for all sexes combined. This modest increase lowers the country's global ranking from 49th in 2022 to 66th in 2050 among the 204 countries and territories included in the latest Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study.

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