Fwd: New RAND Research: A Robust Decision Making Demonstration for EPA's National Water Program

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> Begin forwarded message:
>
> From: RAND Water and Climate Resilience Center <pubs_order@rand.org>
> Subject: New RAND Research: A Robust Decision Making Demonstration for EPA's National Water Program
> Date: September 10, 2015 at 3:00:22 PM EDT
> To: michael.d.mcdonald@mac.com
> Reply-To: RAND Water and Climate Resilience Center <bsmith@rand.org>
>
> New Research
>
> Managing Water Quality in the Face of Uncertainty <http://broadcaster.rand.org/t?r=2&c=1319&l=1876&ctl=232A:89E2A2AF1985A8FAB3425CD1A156DADA&>
> A Robust Decision Making Demonstration for EPA's National Water Program <http://broadcaster.rand.org/t?r=2&c=1319&l=1876&ctl=232A:89E2A2AF1985A8FAB3425CD1A156DADA&>
> Jordan R. Fischbach, Robert J. Lempert, et al.
> <http://broadcaster.rand.org/t?r=2&c=1319&l=1876&ctl=232A:89E2A2AF1985A8FAB3425CD1A156DADA&> DOWNLOAD
> THE REPORT <http://broadcaster.rand.org/t?r=2&c=1319&l=1876&ctl=232A:89E2A2AF1985A8FAB3425CD1A156DADA&>
> The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) and its state and local partners develop implementation plans designed to meet total maximum daily load (TMDL) water quality standards. Uncertainty regarding the impacts of climate change and other drivers may make it difficult for these plans to meet their goals. But the methods and processes used to develop implementation plans typically do not address uncertainty in these key drivers. In this study, we used two pilot case studies to explore how Robust Decision Making (RDM) methods could help USEPA and its partners develop implementation plans that are more robust to future change.
>
> Key Findings
>
> Climate change, land use, and other uncertainties could have a significant impact on the success of water quality plans.
> Modified plans and adaptive management approaches can often reduce these vulnerabilities.
> Rainfall-runoff simulation models can provide useful information for total maximum daily load planning under deep uncertainty.
> Currently available simulation models are suitable to support RDM analyses, but much could be done to improve their utility.
> Download the Report » <http://broadcaster.rand.org/t?r=2&c=1319&l=1876&ctl=232A:89E2A2AF1985A8FAB3425CD1A156DADA&>
> Please send comments about the study to:
>
> Jordan R. Fischbach (author)
> Jordan_Fischbach@rand.org <mailto:Jordan_Fischbach@rand.org>
> RAND Water and Climate Resilience Center
>
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