(task) Why predictions of lethal pandemics should be ignored | Opinion | McClatchy DC

GRS, USRS, All Africa RSs

4

pandemics, biosecurity

> Begin forwarded message:
>
> Date: January 13, 2015 at 11:43:20 PM EST
> From: Kathy Gilbeaux <gilbojer@aol.com>
> To: michael.d.mcdonald@mac.com, mbkraft@erols.com
> Cc: al.martinezfonts@gmail.com, AMaccalla@directrelief.org, kadomaabooki@gmail.com, carrielaj43@gmail.com, daniel.lucey8@gmail.com, davidsalberts@gmail.com, deborahowens20@gmail.com, duane.caneva@hq.dhs.gov, gavinms@gmail.com, hurlburt@md.metrocast.net, wil2001@columbia.edu, hoffm584@umn.edu, linwells@gmail.com, paul.l.reed@usuhs.edu, docpj7@comcast.net, sarah@builtenvironmentcoalition.org, ssm20@cumc.columbia.edu
> Subject: Re: Why predictions of lethal pandemics should be ignored | Opinion | McClatchy DC
>
> All,
>
> FYI . . .
>
> The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Insights for the 21st Century
> http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/195/7/1018.full
>
> The 1918 influenza pandemic: Lessons for 2009 and the future
> http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3180813/
>
> Kathy
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: michael mcdonald <michael.d.mcdonald@mac.com>
> To: Kraft <mbkraft@erols.com>
> Cc: Al Martinez-Fonts <al.martinezfonts@gmail.com>; Andrew Macalla <AMaccalla@directrelief.org>; Anthony Kadoma <kadomaabooki@gmail.com>; Carrie La Jeunesse <carrielaj43@gmail.com>; Daniel Lucey,MD <daniel.lucey8@gmail.com>; David Alberts <davidsalberts@gmail.com>; Deborah Owens <deborahowens20@gmail.com>; Duane Caneva <duane.caneva@hq.dhs.gov>; Gavin Macgregor-Skinner <gavinms@gmail.com>; George Hurlburt <hurlburt@md.metrocast.net>; Ian Lipkin <wil2001@columbia.edu>; John T. Hoffman <hoffm584@umn.edu>; Linton Wells <linwells@gmail.com>; Paul Reed <paul.l.reed@usuhs.edu>; PJ Perinjaquet <docpj7@comcast.net>; Sarah Slaughter <sarah@builtenvironmentcoalition.org>; Stephen Morse <ssm20@cumc.columbia.edu>; Kathy Gilbeaux <gilbojer@aol.com>
> Sent: Wed, Jan 7, 2015 11:31 am
> Subject: Re: Why predictions of lethal pandemics should be ignored | Opinion | McClatchy DC
>
> Mike,
>
> Ignorance has never been a winning solution, in my opinion. A balanced understanding of the probability of transmission and translocation, the lethality of the agent, and the socio-economic impact of the event is very important in the management and governance of high severity crises.
>
> Mike
>
> Michael D. McDonald, Dr.P.H.
>
> Coordinator
> Global Health Response and Resilience Alliance
>
> Chairman
> Oviar Global Resilience Systems, Inc.
>
> Executive Director
> Health Initiatives Foundation, Inc.
>
> Cell: 202-468-7899
> Michael.D.McDonald@mac.com <mailto:Michael.D.McDonald@mac.com>
>
> http://resiliencesystem.org <http://resiliencesystem.org/>
>
> On Jan 7, 2015, at 11:15 AM, Kraft < mbkraft@erols.com <mailto:mbkraft@erols.com>> wrote:
>
> FYI
>
> http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/01/06/252106_why-predictions-of-lethal-pandemics.html?sp=/99/337/&rh=1 <http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/01/06/252106_why-predictions-of-lethal-pandemics.html?sp=/99/337/&rh=1>
>
> Mike
>
>